Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,483$ on 2020-06-25
Best fit exponential: \(677 \times 10^{0.005t}\) (doubling rate \(55.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,236.8}{1 + 10^{-0.055 (t - 37.9)}}\) (asimptote \(2,236.8\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $107$ on 2020-06-25
Best fit exponential: \(27.1 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(42.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{105.7}{1 + 10^{-0.045 (t - 36.6)}}\) (asimptote \(105.7\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $227$ on 2020-06-25
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $63,890$ on 2020-06-25
Best fit exponential: \(3.98 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(28.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{82,788.6}{1 + 10^{-0.017 (t - 93.9)}}\) (asimptote \(82,788.6\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $5,230$ on 2020-06-25
Best fit exponential: \(802 \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(34.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,053.3}{1 + 10^{-0.032 (t - 49.8)}}\) (asimptote \(5,053.3\))
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $58,660$ on 2020-06-25
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $8,788$ on 2020-06-25
Best fit exponential: \(3.01 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.005t}\) (doubling rate \(64.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,370.5}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 32.5)}}\) (asimptote \(8,370.5\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $249$ on 2020-06-25
Best fit exponential: \(82.2 \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(54.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{236.7}{1 + 10^{-0.056 (t - 29.7)}}\) (asimptote \(236.7\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $401$ on 2020-06-25
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $7,172$ on 2020-06-25
Best fit exponential: \(1.46 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(44.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{7,087.1}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 49.0)}}\) (asimptote \(7,087.1\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $327$ on 2020-06-25
Best fit exponential: \(82.7 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(41.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{322.6}{1 + 10^{-0.051 (t - 35.7)}}\) (asimptote \(322.6\))
Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $245$ on 2020-06-25
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $12,836$ on 2020-06-25
Best fit exponential: \(3.11 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(49.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{12,247.7}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 42.4)}}\) (asimptote \(12,247.7\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $603$ on 2020-06-25
Best fit exponential: \(179 \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(50.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{584.7}{1 + 10^{-0.042 (t - 33.3)}}\) (asimptote \(584.7\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $573$ on 2020-06-25
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,830$ on 2020-06-25
Best fit exponential: \(744 \times 10^{0.004t}\) (doubling rate \(73.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,806.2}{1 + 10^{-0.077 (t - 29.4)}}\) (asimptote \(1,806.2\))
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-06-25
Best fit exponential: \(4.81 \times 10^{0.004t}\) (doubling rate \(75.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.1}{1 + 10^{-0.072 (t - 22.4)}}\) (asimptote \(10.1\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $9$ on 2020-06-25
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $61,007$ on 2020-06-25
Best fit exponential: \(1.47 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(48.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{58,670.0}{1 + 10^{-0.044 (t - 42.1)}}\) (asimptote \(58,670.0\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $9,726$ on 2020-06-25
Best fit exponential: \(2.47 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(45.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,457.7}{1 + 10^{-0.053 (t - 38.1)}}\) (asimptote \(9,457.7\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $34,391$ on 2020-06-25
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $309,455$ on 2020-06-25
Best fit exponential: \(4.72 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(37.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{300,204.5}{1 + 10^{-0.033 (t - 54.1)}}\) (asimptote \(300,204.5\))
Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $43,314$ on 2020-06-25
Best fit exponential: \(8.15 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(39.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{41,171.0}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 45.4)}}\) (asimptote \(41,171.0\))
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $264,780$ on 2020-06-25
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $239,706$ on 2020-06-25
Best fit exponential: \(6.42 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.005t}\) (doubling rate \(55.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{232,693.6}{1 + 10^{-0.039 (t - 43.1)}}\) (asimptote \(232,693.6\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $34,678$ on 2020-06-25
Best fit exponential: \(8.31 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(51.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{33,613.5}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 45.5)}}\) (asimptote \(33,613.5\))
Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $18,303$ on 2020-06-25
